油料火灾爆炸模拟实验系统与测试技术

针对受限空间油料火灾爆炸发生、发展、控制、抑制实验的需要,研制了一系列模拟实验台架及关键参数测试系统。所研制的一系列模拟实验台架为各种工况的油料火灾爆炸模拟实验研究提供了完备的科研条件和支撑;研制的超动态数据采集与分析系统能对冲击波压力、瞬时温度、火焰识别、爆燃向爆轰演化(DDT)过程等进行连续捕捉、测试、分析;研制的基于紫外火焰探测、数字信号处理和网络化智能探测技术的油气爆炸火焰传播速度测试系统较传统的火焰传感器具有高灵敏度、零误报、探测距离远的特点。     

不确定失效阈值影响下考虑设备剩余寿命预测信息的最优替换策略

为了进一步提升设备维修决策的科学性,通过建立综合设备剩余寿命预测数据与不确定失效阈值的最优维修决策模型,实现了不可维修设备的最优替换策略。构建基于非线性Wiener过程的设备性能退化模型,并采用极大似然法估计退化模型参数;提出一种基于期望最大(Expectation Maximization, EM)算法的不确定失效阈值分布系数估计方法,通过引入虚拟失效阈值数据实现对失效阈值分布系数的同步迭代更新;基于首达时的概念推导出不确定失效阈值条件下设备剩余寿命的概率密度函数,并基于更新报酬理论建立维修决策模型,从而实现设备的最优维修决策。算例分析表明,设备的失效阈值会对维修决策结果产生重要影响,考虑设备失效阈值的不确定性既有助于提升剩余寿命预测的准确性,又可以有效降低设备的寿命周期费用。     

Effects of total pressures and equivalence ratios on kerosene/air rotating detonation engines using a paralleling CE/SE method

In this paper, the kerosene/air rotating detonation engines(RDE) are numerically investigated, and the emphasis is laid on the effects of total pressures and equivalence ratios on the operation characteristics of RDE including the initiation, instabilities, and propulsive performance. A hybrid MPI + OpenMP parallel computing model is applied and it is proved to be able to obtain a more effective parallel performance on high performance computing(HPC) systems. A series of cases with the total pressure of 1 MPa, 1.5 MPa, 2 MPa, and the equivalence ratio of 0.9, 1, 1.4 are simulated. On one hand, the total pressure shows a significant impact on the instabilities of rotating detonation waves. The instability phenomenon is observed in cases with low total pressure (1 MPa) and weakened with the increase of the total pressure. The total pressure has a small impact on the detonation wave velocity and the specific impulse. On the other hand, the equivalence ratio shows a negligible influence on the instabilities, while it affects the ignition process and accounts for the detonation velocity deficit. It is more difficult to initiate rotating detonation waves directly in the lean fuel operation condition. Little difference was observed in the thrust with different equivalence ratios of 0.9, 1, and 1.4. The highest specific impulse was obtained in the lean fuel cases, which is around 2700 s. The findings could provide insights into the understanding of the operation characteristics of kerosene/air RDE.     

Hazard evaluation of ignition sensitivity and explosion severity for three typical MH2 (M＝Mg,Ti, Zr) of energetic materials

MgH2, TiH2, and ZrH2 are three typical metal hydrides that have been gradually applied to composite explosives and propellants as additives in recent years. To evaluate ignition sensitivity and explosion severity, the Hartmann device and spherical pressure vessel were used to test ignition energy and ex-plosion pressure, respectively. The results showed that the ignition sensitivity of ZrH2, TiH2 and MgH2 gradually increased. When the concentration of MgH2 is 83.0 g/m3 in Hartmann device, the ignition energy attained a minimum of 10.0 mJ. The explosion pressure of MgH2 were 1.44 times and 1.76 times that of TiH2 and ZrH2, respectively, and the explosion pressure rising rate were 3.97 times and 9.96 times that of TiH2 and ZrH2, respectively, through the spherical pressure vessel. It indicated that the reaction reactivity and reaction rate of MgH2 were higher than that of TiH2 and ZrH2. In addition, to conduct in-depth theoretical analysis of ignition sensitivity and explosion severity, gas production and combus-tion heat per unit mass of ZrH2, TiH2 and MgH2 were tested by mercury manometer and oxygen bomb calorimetry. The experimental results revealed that MgH2 had a relatively high gas production per unit mass (5.15 mL/g), while TiH2 and ZrH2 both had a gas production of less than 2.0 mL/g. Their thermal stability gradually increased, leading to a gradual increase in ignition energy. Furthermore, compared with theoretical combustion heat, the combustion ratio of MgH2, TiH2 and ZrH2 was more than 96.0%, with combustion heat value of 29.96, 20.94 and 12.22 MJ/kg, respectively, which was consistent with the explosion pressure and explosion severity test results.     

高新装备复合式预防性保修风险模型

结合高新装备保修需求,引入复合式预防性保修策略,以"定期更换周期内辅以功能检测"这种典型复合维修工作为例,从安全性影响的角度分析了装备的故障发生情况,并建立了其故障风险数学模型。在此基础上,通过算例给出了所建模型的应用方法,研究了该策略下决策变量对故障风险的影响,并分析了模型的通用性。     

氧气体积分数对油气爆炸特性的影响

作为燃烧和爆炸三要素之一,氧气体积分数的控制对于爆炸事故的防治具有重要意义。实验研究了氧气体积分数对汽油蒸气-空气混合物（简称油气）爆炸极限和爆炸压力的影响。结果表明：随着氧气体积分数的降低,油气爆炸下限呈一阶指数规律缓慢增大,油气爆炸上限呈线性规律迅速减小;爆炸极限范围由0.92%~3.76%缩小为1点,该爆炸极限临界点为1.22%,对应的临界氧气体积分数为11.4%;油气的最大爆炸压力和最大压力上升速率随着氧气体积分数的降低而减小,油气体积分数越大,氧气体积分数影响越显著。     

混杂聚硼硅氮烷的交联过程分析及其工艺优化

合成了混杂聚硼硅氮烷(H-PBSZ)并对其结构进行了分析,分析了其交联过程,并采用不同的工艺使其交联固化,研究了交联压力对产物的结构、形貌以及表观密度的影响。结果表明,H-PBSZ结构中含有B-N、Si-N、B-H、N-H以及Si-H等化学键,随着温度的升高,B-H、N-H以及Si-H键会发生断裂;交联过程中,先驱体会放出大量的气体,交联产物的致密度受气泡大小及其速度的影响;高压交联可以减小所放出的气泡的体积,减缓其上升的速度,并可抑制含氢键的断裂反应,降低气体的放出量,从而制得较高致密度的交联产物。     

Optimal burn‐in procedure for periodically inspected systems

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we study burn‐in procedure for a system that is maintained under periodic inspection and perfect repair policy. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of a system has an initially decreasing and/or eventually increasing failure rate function, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time, which maximizes the system availability. Furthermore, adopting an age replacement policy, we derive upper and lower bounds for the optimal age parameter of the replacement policy for each fixed burn‐in time and a uniform upper bound for the optimal burn‐in time given the age replacement policy. These results can be used to reduce the numerical work for determining both optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

小子样鱼雷装载失效率与工作失效率关系

鱼雷装载试验信息很少,用数理统计方法评估其装载失效率,结果不能真实反映实际情况.利用灰色系统理论的GM(1,2)模型,结合实例对鱼雷装载失效率和工作失效率的关系进行建模,研究两者之间的关系,推算鱼雷装载失效率.计算结果表明,该方法能达到令人满意的拟合和预测精度,方法简单,具有实用价值.     

Weibull型产品的可靠性验证

讨论了Weibull型产品的可靠性验证问题 ,首先分析了Weibull型产品分布参数的无信息验前分布问题 ,利用验前信息可以得到分布参数的验前概率密度函数 ,进而分析了产品的可靠性验证问题 ,顾及了使用方利益和生产方利益。仿真算例表明 ,使用方利益和生产方利益是相互折衷的。